中国技术创新与产业结构升级的耦合协调关系研究——基于1995-2015年时序数据的测度分析

技术创新能力是促进产业结构调整升级的强大动力,两者之间存在着相互联系、相互促进的良性互动关系。在精心构建技术创新能力与产业结构优化升级评价指标体系的基础上,综合运用熵值法和耦合协调度模型,基于1995-2015年的时序数据,对两者之间的耦合协调关系进行了较深入的实证分析和讨论。分析结果表明,1995-2015年间,特别是进入新世纪以来,中国技术创新能力与产业结构优化升级的综合评价指数以及两者间的耦合协调度总体上均呈现出稳步上升趋势,其中耦合协调度从1995年的0.323增加到2015年的0.643,从严重失调逐步演进到初级协调状态,但其整体耦合协调水平仍然偏低。为更好地促进两者间的协调发展,提出了若干对策建议。     

“供给侧改革”中的减税政策思考

供给侧改革是我国经济改革领域的热点和焦点话题,减税是供给侧结构性改革的重要举措之一。通过梳理不同学派学者的各项研究,并基于供给学派的减税理论,分析我国供给侧结构性改革中的税制优化问题,提出在当前减税背景下各税类的改革方向,从而降低企业的税收负担,构建最优税制结构体系。     

A two‐step system for direct bank telemarketing outcome classification

A two‐step system is presented to improve prediction of telemarketing outcomes and to help the marketing management team effectively manage customer relationships in the banking industry. In the first step, several neural networks are trained with different categories of information to make initial predictions. In the second step, all initial predictions are combined by a single neural network to make a final prediction. Particle swarm optimization is employed to optimize the initial weights of each neural network in the ensemble system. Empirical results indicate that the two‐step system presented performs better than all its individual components. In addition, the two‐step system outperforms a baseline one where all categories of marketing information are used to train a single neural network. As a neural networks ensemble model, the proposed two‐step system is robust to noisy and nonlinear data, easy to interpret, suitable for large and heterogeneous marketing databases, fast and easy to implement.     

Risk–Return Profiles of Islamic Equities and Commodity Portfolios in Different Market Conditions

Motivated by the recent phenomenal growth in Islamic finance and the financialization of commodities, this study makes an initial attempt to investigate the risk–return profiles of optimized portfolios combining (a) Islamic equities with commodities and (b) conventional equities with commodities during the crises and noncrises periods. The findings tend to indicate that Islamic equity–commodity portfolios provide relatively higher diversification benefits than the conventional equity–commodity portfolios during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis triggered by the financial sector compared to the 2008 global financial crisis triggered by the real housing sector. The findings further suggest that except for a few cases, commodities in general and gold in particular improve diversification benefits.     

利用多媒体技术优化数学教学

在数学课堂教学过程中,应用多媒体技术组合教学方式,将传统的教学手段与现代教学媒体有机地联系起来,相辅相成,互为补充,充分发挥各自的教学功能,优化课堂结构,提高课堂教学质量.     

养老保障制度"优化"理念分析

本文立足于养老保障制度的多层次和可持续发展目标,提出养老保障制度“新三支柱”和“八层次”优化理念,以及养老保障优化的性质界定、优化主线、优化效果、优化核心、优化目标。养老保障制度优化性质就是采取一定措施使养老保障水平“适度”和养老制度“可持续”发展。养老保障制度优化主线是养老资源的合理利用和效应最大化,也就是养老“人、财”体系的效用改进。养老保障制度优化的效果是构建一个“结构合理,功能提升,效率改进,发展持续”的养老制度体系。养老保障制度优化的核心是解决“资金平衡”和“利益均衡”。养老制度的优化标准和目标是制度的可持续发展,具体表现为养老制度的优化与风险控制、国民财富分配、人口结构、居民收入水平、社会文化等要素契合协调发展。在此基础上,提出优化养老方式整体效率、优化多层次抗风险、优化多责任破解时代难题、优化多元个人生命周期等政策建议。     

银行授信资产组合优化决策模型与求解

我国商业银行信贷资产占全部资产的70%以上,信贷风险是银行最主要、最直接的风险。因此,研究信贷风险控制模型,并给出简单有效的风险计算方法,为信贷部门提供辅助决策支持,对降低银行不良资产率,提高经营效益具有重要的意义。     

金融结构理论对我国金融结构调整优化的启示

R.W.戈德史密斯的金融结构理论是西方金融理论中的重要流派。该理论分析了决定金融发展的因素、金融结构与金融发展对经济增长的引致效应以及各国金融发展中的普遍规律性趋势。戈德史密斯认为,金融发展的实质就是金融结构的变化,金融相关比率是衡量金融结构演变程度最重要的数量指标;世界上存在一条主要的金融发展道路,在这条道路上,金融结构的变化呈现出一定的规律性。金融结构理论的研究方法和基本框架对我国金融结构调整和结构优化具有重要启示。     

利用无人机标定雷达精度的新方法

针对现有雷达标定系统存在的使用成本高、组织实施不方便、真值获取手段不可靠等一系列问题,提出了利用搭载“北斗”卫星定位系统的旋翼无人机作为探测目标的三坐标雷达精度标定新方法。设计了基于该方法的三坐标雷达标定系统方案,研究了系统实现所需的关键技术,最后给出了系统样机的试验结果。结果表明,该方法能够真实反映三坐标雷达的系统误差,与传统雷达标定方法相比,更加经济、简便、灵活。     

Sustainable hub location under mixed uncertainty

This paper addresses a novel sustainable hub location problem (SHLP) in which two new environmental-based cost functions accounting for air and noise pollution of vehicles are incorporated. To cope with uncertain data incorporated in the model, a mixed possibilistic–stochastic programming approach is proposed to construct the crisp counterpart. A simulated annealing (SA) and an imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) with a new solution representation are developed to solve real-sized instances whose performances are compared with a proposed lower bound. Finally, some computational experiments are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model and solution approaches.